NHL Final Intelligence
Detroit Red Wings 0, Colorado Avalanche 4 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche shut out the Detroit Red Wings 4-0 behind a 27-save performance from Mackenzie Blackwood, outshooting Detroit 29-27 as SportsFBI's 66% pregame lean proved correct. After a scoreless first period, the Avalanche broke through in the second when Martin Necas scored at 9:46 with assists from T.J. Hughes and Cale Makar. Nathan MacKinnon followed at 12:30 off feeds from Makar and Necas to extend the lead to 2-0.
Colorado continued pulling away in the third period as Necas netted his second goal of the game at 7:15, assisted by MacKinnon and Devon Toews. Cale Makar capped the scoring at 9:45 with help from MacKinnon and Necas to finalize the 4-0 margin. Daniil Tarasov stopped 25 of 29 shots for Detroit in the loss.
The victory improves Colorado's record to 9-6-2, while Detroit falls to 7-7-3 following the scoreless effort.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Colorado Avalanche (-225, 69% implied) over the Detroit Red Wings.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Colorado Avalanche (66% confidence). It gave a 36% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P2 9:46 Martin Necas (T.J. Hughes, Cale Makar) COL · Power play · snap shot · DET 0, COL 1
- P2 12:30 Nathan MacKinnon (Cale Makar, Martin Necas) COL · Power play · slap shot · DET 0, COL 2
- P3 7:15 Martin Necas (Nathan MacKinnon, Devon Toews) COL · bat shot · DET 0, COL 3
- P3 9:45 Cale Makar (Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas) COL · Power play · wrist shot · DET 0, COL 4
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 13 | 2 | 12 | 27 |
| COL | 5 | 13 | 11 | 29 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 0Goals0% of attempts
- 27Saved77% of attempts
- 8Missed the net23% of attempts
- 4Goals11% of attempts
- 25Saved66% of attempts
- 9Missed the net24% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Faulk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 |
| William Wallinder | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:26 |
| Ben Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20:20 |
| Moritz Seider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:26 |
| Emmitt Finnie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:04 |
| Andrew Copp | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18:44 |
| Lucas Raymond | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17:55 |
| Andreas Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:14 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 |
| Alex DeBrincat | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 |
| J.T. Compher | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:34 |
| Michael Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| Anton Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:14 |
| Sheldon Dries | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:09 |
| John Leonard | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 09:39 |
| Carter Mazur | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 09:09 |
| Keegan Kolesar | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 09:05 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | — | 25 | 29 | 86.2 | 4 | 58:14 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Necas | C | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 |
| Cale Makar | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | C | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 |
| Devon Toews | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 |
| T.J. Hughes | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:55 |
| Brett Kulak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 |
| Sam Malinski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17:27 |
| Nazem Kadri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 |
| Brent Burns | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 |
| Brock Nelson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 |
| Parker Kelly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:17 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 |
| Nicolas Roy | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12:20 |
| Logan O'Connor | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| Jaden Schwartz | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:35 |
| Noah Juulsen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11:25 |
| Fedor Svechkov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:06 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | — | 27 | 27 | 100.0 | 0 | 58:14 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Necas COL | Points | 0.5 | 4 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Nathan MacKinnon COL | Points | 1.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 4.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Cale Makar COL | Points | 1.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Devon Toews COL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| T.J. Hughes COL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Moritz Seider DET | Points | 0.5 | 0 | Under |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 0 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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