NHL Final Intelligence
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Los Angeles Kings 2 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins defeated the Los Angeles Kings 5-2, overcoming a pregame analytics lean that favored Los Angeles at 60%. Tommy Novak powered the Pittsburgh offense with two goals, opening the scoring at 1:52 of the first period with helpers from Declan Carlile and Kris Letang. Novak struck again at 5:10 off a pass from Ben Kindel to build a 2-0 lead. Los Angeles answered at 9:55 when Corey Perry scored with assists from Mikey Anderson and Artemi Panarin. Pittsburgh reclaimed a multi-goal cushion at 19:31 of the first when Egor Chinakhov scored, assisted by Ville Koivunen and Evgeni Malkin.
In the second period, Los Angeles cut the deficit to 3-2 at 3:07 as Alex Laferriere scored with help from Adrian Kempe and Erik Gustafsson. Pittsburgh responded at 17:13 when Sidney Crosby found the net, set up by Evgeni Malkin and Erik Karlsson, stretching the lead to 4-2. The third period featured scoreless hockey as Sergei Murashov stopped 26 of 28 shots to preserve the victory for the Penguins, while Darcy Kuemper turned aside 14 of 18 shots for the Kings.
With the final result, the Pittsburgh Penguins improved their record to 5-9-2, while the Los Angeles Kings dropped to 5-7-2. Despite being outshot 28 to 19 by Los Angeles, Pittsburgh secured the 5-2 win behind multi-point games from Tommy Novak and Evgeni Malkin.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Los Angeles Kings (-122, 55% implied) over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Los Angeles Kings (60% confidence). It gave a 33% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 1:52 Tommy Novak (Declan Carlile, Kris Letang) PIT · wrist shot · PIT 1, LAK 0
- P1 5:10 Tommy Novak (Ben Kindel) PIT · snap shot · PIT 2, LAK 0
- P1 9:55 Corey Perry (Mikey Anderson, Artemi Panarin) LAK · bat shot · PIT 2, LAK 1
- P1 19:31 Egor Chinakhov (Ville Koivunen, Evgeni Malkin) PIT · Power play · wrist shot · PIT 3, LAK 1
- P2 3:07 Alex Laferriere (Adrian Kempe, Erik Gustafsson) LAK · Power play · wrist shot · PIT 3, LAK 2
- P2 17:13 Sidney Crosby (Evgeni Malkin, Erik Karlsson) PIT · deflected shot · PIT 4, LAK 2
Biggest Period
The Pittsburgh Penguins scored 3 goals in P1 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| LAK | 9 | 11 | 8 | 28 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 4Goals12% of attempts
- 14Saved41% of attempts
- 16Missed the net47% of attempts
- 2Goals4% of attempts
- 26Saved53% of attempts
- 21Missed the net43% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 |
| Evgeni Malkin | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 |
| Sidney Crosby | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 |
| Egor Chinakhov | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 |
| Erik Karlsson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:44 |
| Declan Carlile | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18:35 |
| Kris Letang | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:30 |
| Ben Kindel | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:37 |
| Ville Koivunen | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 |
| Rickard Rakell | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19:49 |
| Samuel Girard | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:31 |
| Kaedan Korczak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16:32 |
| Spencer Stastney | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 |
| Connor Dewar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:51 |
| Nick Robertson | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 |
| Blake Lizotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:16 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:38 |
| Justin Brazeau | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Murashov | — | 26 | 28 | 92.9 | 2 | 58:33 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:39 |
| Corey Perry | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:40 |
| Artemi Panarin | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 |
| Erik Gustafsson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 |
| Adrian Kempe | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:06 |
| Mikey Anderson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:19 |
| Drew Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21:29 |
| Quinton Byfield | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 |
| Brandt Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:29 |
| Joel Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:03 |
| Brian Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:32 |
| Trevor Moore | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 |
| Erik Haula | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 14:13 |
| Scott Laughton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11:22 |
| Joel Armia | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:09 |
| Kenny Connors | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10:39 |
| Andre Lee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:25 |
| Alex Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10:09 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | — | 14 | 18 | 77.8 | 4 | 56:43 |
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