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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CLE vs
TB

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

July 24, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
CLE 85-77  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: CLE 3, TB 11 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 56%
Projected Score TB 6 ยท CLE 4
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 3.21 vs 4.03, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP home venue edge (ERA 2.61 H vs 4.36 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CLE โ€” Away LHP
Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
ERA3.62
WHIP1.42
FIP3.87
K/99.7
K/BB5.1
Road ERA: 4.38
vs
TB โ€” Home LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 2.61

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CLE โ€” Away
  1. 1 Angel Martinez RF
  2. 2 Chase DeLauter DH
  3. 3 Rhys Hoskins 1B
  4. 4 Brayan Rocchio SS
  5. 5 David Fry LF
  6. 6 Travis Bazzana 2B
  7. 7 Gabriel Arias 3B
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Petey Halpin CF
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Cedric Mullins CF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca RF
  6. 6 Chandler Simpson LF
  7. 7 Ryan Vilade 2B
  8. 8 Ben Williamson SS
  9. 9 Nick Fortes C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CLE Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.703 0.731
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 -0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CLE +4.5 (-106)
TB -4.5 (-123)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+106)
Under 9.5 (-138)
Moneyline
CLE +1260
TB -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CLE โ€” Away
Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio SS
Hits
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Chase DeLauter Chase DeLauter DH
Hits
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Angel Martinez Angel Martinez RF
Hits
2.5
60 ยท UNDER
Travis Bazzana Travis Bazzana 2B
Hits
0.5
57 ยท OVER
TB โ€” Home
Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson LF
Hits
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 3B
Hits
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 1B
Hits
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz DH
Hits
0.5
71 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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