โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
PHI

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

July 24, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 1, PHI 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 57%
Projected Score PHI 2 ยท NYY 0
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.00 vs 3.52) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 6.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs NYY lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs PHI lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY PHI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Road ERA: 1.18
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Jesus Luzardo
Jesus Luzardo
ERA2.86
WHIP1.07
FIP2.59
K/911.1
K/BB8.5
Home ERA: 3.69

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jasson Dominguez RF
  6. 6 Anthony Volpe SS
  7. 7 Trent Grisham CF
  8. 8 Jose Caballero 2B
  9. 9 Ali Sanchez C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.705 0.701
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.07
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -0.5
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+850)
PHI +1.5 (-2400)
Total (O/U)
Over 1.5 (+620)
Under 1.5 (-1260)
Moneyline
NYY -2600
PHI +890

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Runs
1.5
57 ยท UNDER
Cam Schlittler Cam Schlittler SP
Outs
17.5
54 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Jesus Luzardo Jesus Luzardo SP
Outs
17.5
56 ยท OVER
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Singles
0.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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