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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
BAL

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles

July 31, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
PHI 88-74  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 4, BAL 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 62%
Projected Score BAL 6 ยท PHI 5
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 3.82 vs 5.54) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Defensive edge (dWAR 4.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI BAL SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
ERA5.40
WHIP1.41
FIP4.56
K/98.2
K/BB4.8
Road ERA: 4.98
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
ERA3.56
WHIP1.35
FIP4.40
K/97.7
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 4.08

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh LF
  6. 6 J.T. Realmuto C
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Dylan Beavers LF
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Taylor Ward DH
  5. 5 Leody Taveras RF
  6. 6 Jackson Holliday 2B
  7. 7 Coby Mayo 3B
  8. 8 Colton Cowser CF
  9. 9 Yohel Pozo C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.701 0.694
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -0.7 -0.8
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +1.5 (+333)
BAL -1.5 (-499)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+323)
Under 10.5 (-481)
Moneyline
PHI +1080
BAL -4700

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits
1.5
73 ยท UNDER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Justin Crawford Justin Crawford CF
Hits
1.5
62 ยท UNDER
Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 2B
Hits
1.5
61 ยท UNDER
BAL โ€” Home
Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 1B
Hits
1.5
75 ยท UNDER
Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 3B
Hits
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Colton Cowser Colton Cowser CF
Hits
1.5
68 ยท UNDER
Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers LF
Hits
1.5
60 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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