โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
TOR

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

May 13, 2026 ยท 7:07 PM ET ยท Rogers Centre
TB 98-64  ยท  TOR 79-83

๐Ÿ Final: TB 3, TOR 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 4 ยท TOR 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TOR Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP quality edge (FIP 2.10 vs 3.12) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 4.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+1.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB TOR SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.93
vs
TOR โ€” Home RHP
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
ERA2.40
WHIP1.10
FIP2.50
K/912.7
K/BB8.6
Home ERA: 2.93

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Jake Fraley RF
  6. 6 Richie Palacios 2B
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
TOR โ€” Home
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  5. 5 Daulton Varsho CF
  6. 6 Jesus Sanchez RF
  7. 7 Ernie Clement 2B
  8. 8 Andres Gimenez SS
  9. 9 Tyler Heineman C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away TOR Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.663
Bullpen FIP 4.55 4.49
Run Diff / 10G +2.2 +0.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -1.5 (+149)
TOR +1.5 (-196)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+149)
Under 5.5 (-197)
Moneyline
TB -265
TOR +195

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Griffin Jax Griffin Jax SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
56 ยท OVER
TOR โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB