NFL Week Recap

2026 · Week 4

Every pregame prediction measured against the final result. Real calls, transparent grading.

Games16This week

Predictions16Graded

Hits9Correct calls

Misses7Incorrect calls

Accuracy56%Hit rate

Prediction ledger

Game Results

Game	SportsFBI Prediction	Result	Confidence	Actual
PITPittsburgh Steelers 24–27Final CLECleveland Browns	PITWin probability 56%	Miss	56%	CLEPIT 24 · CLE 27
INDIndianapolis Colts 30–13Final WSHWashington Commanders	INDWin probability 63%	Hit	63%	IND UpsetIND 30 · WSH 13
NENew England Patriots 29–26Final BUFBuffalo Bills	BUFWin probability 72%	Miss	72%	NENE 29 · BUF 26
NYJNew York Jets 12–23Final CHIChicago Bears	CHIWin probability 69%	Hit	69%	CHINYJ 12 · CHI 23
JAXJacksonville Jaguars 22–17Final CINCincinnati Bengals	CINWin probability 58%	Miss	58%	JAXJAX 22 · CIN 17
ARIArizona Cardinals 24–36Final NYGNew York Giants	ARIWin probability 51%	Miss	51%	NYGARI 24 · NYG 36
LARLos Angeles Rams 24–20Final PHIPhiladelphia Eagles	LARWin probability 64%	Hit	64%	LARLAR 24 · PHI 20
GBGreen Bay Packers 17–14Final TBTampa Bay Buccaneers	GBWin probability 64%	Hit	64%	GBGB 17 · TB 14
TENTennessee Titans 18–24Final BALBaltimore Ravens	BALWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	BALTEN 18 · BAL 24
DALDallas Cowboys 34–30Final HOUHouston Texans	HOUWin probability 61%	Miss	61%	DALDAL 34 · HOU 30
MIAMiami Dolphins 10–15Final MINMinnesota Vikings	MINWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	MINMIA 10 · MIN 15
KCKansas City Chiefs 30–27Final LVLas Vegas Raiders	KCWin probability 66%	Hit	66%	KCKC 30 · LV 27
DENDenver Broncos 14–24Final SFSan Francisco 49ers	SFWin probability 69%	Hit	69%	SFDEN 14 · SF 24
LACLos Angeles Chargers 23–30Final SEASeattle Seahawks	SEAWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	SEALAC 23 · SEA 30
DETDetroit Lions 26–32Final CARCarolina Panthers	DETWin probability 65%	Miss	65%	CARDET 26 · CAR 32
ATLAtlanta Falcons 45–24Final NONew Orleans Saints	NOWin probability 52%	Miss	52%	ATLATL 45 · NO 24

✓ Hit× Miss— Ungraded: no frozen pregame pick— Pending