Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Detroit Lions face Green Bay Packers in Week 18 at Lambeau Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Detroit Lions enter with a 3-2 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 32.8 points scored and 29.6 allowed.
Green Bay Packers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 3 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Detroit Lions’s 32.8 points per game against a Green Bay Packers defense allowing 20.8. In the other direction, Green Bay Packers average 21.2 against Detroit Lions’s 29.6 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Detroit Lions have injury designations to monitor: Rock Ya-Sin (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Green Bay Packers have injury designations to monitor: Aaron Banks (G) — Questionable; Benjamin St-Juste (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Green Bay Packers are Home field / environment; Explosive-play differential.
The strongest model adjustments toward Detroit Lions are Starting QB efficiency; Early-down efficiency.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Detroit Lions 3-2
- 🏈 Record: Green Bay Packers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DETA Starting QB efficiency +1.1 Moderate
Jordan Love (2026) 59.7% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.9% TD / 1.8% INT / 91.8 RATE · Jared Goff (2026) 67.0% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 111.3 RATE
GBH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
GB home field | GB 83 days / DET 90 days
GBH Explosive-play differential +0.84 Strong
8% / 4% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
DETA Early-down efficiency +0.69 Moderate
40% / 44% allowed | 51% / 48% allowed
GBH Pass defense +0.49 Moderate
GB 5.1 net Y/A / 64.5% CMP / 73.9 RATE | DET 6.4 / 68.1% / 106.3
DETA Run-game matchup +0.45 Moderate
GB 2.9 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | DET 4.4 / 4.2 | PBP 69% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
GBH Recent form +0.30 Moderate
GB W3 · DET W1
DETA OL vs DL matchup +0.24 Weak
GB OL sack 5.4% / DEF sack 6.6% | DET 5.4% / 8.6%
DETA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.24 Moderate
50% / 75% allowed | 77% / 76% allowed
DETA Game-script tendencies +0.16 Weak
57% neutral pass / 59 plays | 58% / 63
GBH Record quality +0.13 Weak
GB 4-2 · DET 3-2
GBH Turnover differential +0.05 Weak
GB 1.2 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | DET 0.2 / 1.0
DETA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
GB 47% opp wins · DET 49%
GBH Third-down efficiency +0.03 Weak
GB OFF 35.5% / DEF 43.4% | DET 37.3% / 50.7% | PBP 60%/36%/21% | 44%/63%/24%
DETA Raw scoring differential +0.02 Weak
GB 21.2 PPG · DET 32.8 PPG | GB 20.8 PA/G · DET 29.6 PA/G
DETA Special teams efficiency +0.02 Weak
GB FG 76.9% / NET PUNT 47.3 | DET 100.0% / 44.4
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