Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles face New York Giants in Week 18 at MetLife Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
New York Giants enter with a 3-2-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.7 points scored and 23.3 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Philadelphia Eagles’s 17.7 points per game against a New York Giants defense allowing 23.3. In the other direction, New York Giants average 22.7 against Philadelphia Eagles’s 22.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
New York Giants have injury designations to monitor: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) — Questionable; Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) — Questionable; Darnell Mooney (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward New York Giants are Home field / environment; Recent form.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Red-zone TD efficiency; Schedule strength.
The current model leans toward NYG at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
- 🏈 Record: New York Giants 3-2-1
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
NYGH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
NYG home field | NYG 84 days / PHI 84 days
NYGH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
NYG L1 · PHI L4
PHIA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.34 Moderate
61% / 75% allowed | 63% / 54% allowed
NYGH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
NYG 3-2 · PHI 2-4
PHIA Schedule strength +0.31 Strong
NYG 29% opp wins · PHI 45%
PHIA Run-game matchup +0.26 Weak
NYG 3.8 rush Y/A / 5.0 allowed | PHI 3.7 / 4.0 | PBP 83% stuff avoided | 73% stuff avoided
NYGH Explosive-play differential +0.16 Weak
5% / 6% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
NYGH Raw scoring differential +0.08 Weak
NYG 22.7 PPG · PHI 17.7 PPG | NYG 23.3 PA/G · PHI 22.8 PA/G
PHIA OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
NYG OL sack 7.8% / DEF sack 4.0% | PHI 7.4% / 3.6%
NYGH Pass defense +0.06 Weak
NYG 5.7 net Y/A / 63.4% CMP / 88.7 RATE | PHI 6.5 / 60.4% / 88.2
PHIA Game-script tendencies +0.06 Weak
51% neutral pass / 61 plays | 56% / 55
NYGH Early-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
41% / 45% allowed | 37% / 42% allowed
PHIA Starting QB efficiency +0.04 Weak
Jameis Winston (2026) 57.0% CMP / 6.1 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 3.2% INT / 76.4 RATE · Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE
PHIA Third-down efficiency +0.03 Weak
NYG OFF 41.7% / DEF 41.7% | PHI 37.3% / 38.9% | PBP 64%/67%/30% | 47%/61%/27%
NYGH Turnover differential +0.03 Weak
NYG 1.8 GIVE / 1.5 TAKE | PHI 0.8 / 0.5
NYGH Special teams efficiency +0.01 Weak
NYG FG 81.3% / NET PUNT 48.3 | PHI 100.0% / 44.1
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