Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Pittsburgh Steelers face Baltimore Ravens in Week 18 at M&T Bank Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Baltimore Ravens enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 26.0 points scored and 22.0 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Pittsburgh Steelers’s 22.8 points per game against a Baltimore Ravens defense allowing 22.0. In the other direction, Baltimore Ravens average 26.0 against Pittsburgh Steelers’s 21.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Baltimore Ravens have injury designations to monitor: Rashod Bateman (WR) — Questionable; Lamar Jackson (QB) — Questionable; Cam Jurgens (C) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Baltimore Ravens are Early-down efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Game-script tendencies; Recent form.
The current model leans toward BAL at 55.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Baltimore Ravens 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
BALH Early-down efficiency +1.1 Strong
51% / 40% allowed | 42% / 45% allowed
BALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
BAL home field | BAL 84 days / PIT 84 days
BALH Starting QB efficiency +0.80 Moderate
Lamar Jackson (2026) 70.8% CMP / 10.1 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 1.0% INT / 119.6 RATE · Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE
PITA Game-script tendencies +0.61 Strong
47% neutral pass / 58 plays | 64% / 60
BALH Explosive-play differential +0.56 Moderate
7% / 6% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
PITA Recent form +0.45 Moderate
BAL L1 · PIT W2
PITA Pass defense +0.22 Weak
BAL 6.0 net Y/A / 65.0% CMP / 87.0 RATE | PIT 5.7 / 61.7% / 78.6
PITA Schedule strength +0.20 Moderate
BAL 36% opp wins · PIT 46%
BALH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.19 Weak
71% / 58% allowed | 53% / 50% allowed
BALH Third-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
56%/56%/21% | 59%/23%/32%
BALH Raw scoring differential +0.08 Weak
BAL 26.0 PPG · PIT 22.8 PPG | BAL 22.0 PA/G · PIT 21.3 PA/G
PITA OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
BAL OL sack 7.7% / DEF sack 7.1% | PIT 7.5% / 7.4%
PITA Turnover differential +0.06 Weak
BAL 0.7 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | PIT 1.2 / 1.7
PITA Run-game matchup +0.01 Weak
BAL 4.9 rush Y/A / 3.8 allowed | PIT 4.6 / 4.0 | PBP 78% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
BALH Special teams efficiency +0.01 Weak
BAL FG 76.9% / NET PUNT 44.5 | PIT 76.5% / 46.3
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